Osasuna vs. Girona Tips and Odds – 13/04/2025

• Fixture: Osasuna vs Girona
• Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
• Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona, Spain

Match Preview

Osasuna and Girona face off in a crucial La Liga fixture that could significantly impact their standings in the bottom half of the table. With just one point separating the two sides—Osasuna in 13th place with 35 points and Girona in 15th with 34—this match is more than just a mid-table clash; it’s a battle for survival and momentum as the season nears its conclusion.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head History
Osasuna enters the game following a 1-1 draw against Leganés, where Jorge Herrando scored their only goal. While they have been difficult to beat this season, their tendency to draw games (14 draws in 30 matches) has hindered their progress. At home, however, Osasuna has been relatively solid, winning six of their 15 matches at Estadio El Sadar. Their defensive resilience will be key as they aim to capitalize on Girona’s recent struggles.

Girona, meanwhile, is enduring a poor run of form, having failed to win any of their last eight matches. Their most recent outing was a disappointing 1-0 home loss to Alavés. Despite flashes of attacking brilliance earlier in the season—such as their shocking 2-4 victory over Barcelona—they have struggled for consistency and are prone to defensive lapses. Historically, Girona has had the upper hand in this matchup, winning six of their last 13 encounters against Osasuna. However, their poor away form this season (three wins from 15 matches) could be a significant disadvantage.

Tactical Insights and Key Stats
Osasuna boasts the ninth-best scoring record in La Liga with 34 goals but has conceded 43 times, ranking them 13th defensively. Their shot differential (-62) indicates they are often outshot by opponents but rely on efficiency in front of goal. Ante Budimir remains their standout performer with 15 goals this season, while Bryan Zaragoza Martinez and Ruben Garcia provide creative support.

Girona ranks eighth in goals scored (37) but has conceded a concerning 46 goals, placing them among the league’s weakest defenses. They average fewer shots per game than Osasuna (10 compared to Osasuna’s 13), which highlights their reliance on clinical finishing rather than sustained pressure. Cristhian Stuani leads Girona’s attack with six goals, while Miguel Gutierrez and Yangel Herrera add versatility from midfield and defense.

Key Players

• Osasuna
  • Ante Budimir: The prolific striker is Osasuna’s main attacking threat with 15 goals this season.
  • Bryan Zaragoza Martinez: A creative force with five assists despite his injury absence.
  • Ruben Garcia: Contributing two goals and four assists from midfield.
• Girona
  • Cristhian Stuani: The veteran forward leads Girona’s scoring charts with six goals.
  • Miguel Gutierrez: An attacking full-back with five assists who can influence play from wide areas.
  • Yangel Herrera: A dynamic midfielder with four goals and three assists.

Prediction

This match is expected to be closely contested given both teams’ vulnerabilities. Osasuna’s home advantage and defensive organization could give them an edge over Girona, whose porous defense has been exploited repeatedly this season. However, Girona’s ability to score from wing play could pose challenges for Osasuna’s backline.

Predicted Scoreline: Osasuna 2-1 Girona
Osasuna’s resilience at home may prove decisive as they narrowly edge out Girona in what should be an engaging contest.

Betting Markets

With both teams showing vulnerabilities but also flashes of quality, betting on goals or a narrow Osasuna win could offer value.