PSG vs. Le Havre Tips and Odds – 19/04/2025

• Fixture: Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Havre (Ligue 1, Matchday 30)
• Date: Saturday, 19 April 2025
• Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris, France

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Le Havre at the Parc des Princes in what is set to be a classic top-versus-bottom Ligue 1 showdown. PSG have already clinched the Ligue 1 title and are riding high on both domestic and European fronts, boasting a formidable record of 23 wins and 5 draws without defeat in the league this season. Their recent form is exceptional, with five wins from their last six home matches and a goal difference that underlines their dominance—80 goals scored and just 26 conceded. The Parisians are also preparing for the Coupe de France final and Champions League semi-finals, so some squad rotation is expected as they look to maintain freshness and avoid injuries.

Le Havre, meanwhile, are in a dogfight to avoid relegation. Sitting 16th with 27 points, they are just above the automatic drop zone and are coming off a demoralizing 5-1 defeat to Rennes. However, they did recently secure a vital win over Montpellier, showing they still have fight left in them. Their away form remains a concern, with a 50% loss rate on the road this season, and historically they have struggled against PSG, losing five of the last six Ligue 1 meetings between the sides.

Injuries are a significant issue for Le Havre. They will be without Yann Kitala (hamstring), Andy Logbo (foot), Daren Mosengo (knee), and have doubts over Yanis Zouaoui (ankle) and Antoine Joujou (groin). These absences limit their attacking options and force coach Didier Digard to rely on a more defensive setup, likely a 4-2-3-1 or 4-5-1, with Toure and Mwanga anchoring the midfield and Ayew leading the line.

PSG, on the other hand, have the luxury of a deep squad and only a few minor injury concerns. Layvin Kurzawa and Presnel Kimpembe are sidelined, but the rest of the squad is available, allowing Luis Enrique to rotate as needed. Expect to see a blend of regulars and fringe players, with the likes of Lee Kang-in, Bradley Barcola, and Gonçalo Ramos potentially starting in attack, while Donnarumma remains a rock in goal.

Key Players

• Paris Saint-Germain:
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma: The Italian keeper has been a key figure, boasting a save percentage above 70% and providing stability at the back.
  • Bradley Barcola: The young winger’s pace and creativity offer a different dimension to PSG’s attack, especially when the regular starters are rotated.
  • Vitinha: The midfielder’s passing range and work rate help PSG control the tempo and transition smoothly from defense to attack.
• Le Havre:
  • Abdoulaye Toure: The midfield anchor, crucial for breaking up PSG’s play and launching counterattacks.
  • Gautier Lloris: Although recently injured, if fit, his leadership and defensive organization are vital for Le Havre’s hopes of keeping PSG at bay.
  • Mathieu Gorgelin: The experienced goalkeeper will need to be at his best to withstand PSG’s relentless pressure.

Prediction

Given PSG’s imperious home form, squad depth, and attacking firepower—even with rotation—they are overwhelming favorites. Le Havre’s defensive structure may keep things tight early, but their injury-hit squad will likely struggle to contain PSG for 90 minutes. The gulf in class and confidence between the sides is stark, and PSG are expected to dominate possession, create numerous chances, and secure a comfortable victory. Le Havre’s best hope is to frustrate PSG and snatch something on the break, but history and recent form suggest a routine win for the champions.

Predicted score: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Le Havre.

Betting Markets & Odds

Odds are indicative and may vary. Always check the latest odds before placing a bet.

PSG are set to extend their unbeaten run, while Le Havre’s focus will quickly shift to their crucial relegation battles ahead.