Roma vs. Cagliari Tips and Odds – 16/03/2025

• Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
• Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
• Fixture: Roma vs. Cagliari

Match Preview

The upcoming match between Roma and Cagliari promises to be an exciting encounter in the Serie A. Roma, currently placed 7th with 46 points, will host Cagliari, who are situated 14th with 26 points. Roma enters the match with an impressive record of 5 wins in their last 6 league matches, showcasing their strong form. In contrast, Cagliari has faced losses in 54% of their away fixtures this season, highlighting their struggles on the road.

Roma’s dominance in possession is likely to be a key factor, as they tend to control the tempo of the match. They average 53% possession and have scored 42 goals in 20 matches, with an average of 2.10 goals per game. However, Cagliari’s aerial prowess could pose a significant threat, especially from set pieces. Cagliari has won more aerial duels than Roma, with 16 aerials won per match compared to Roma’s 12. Roma might struggle with staying onside, which could lead to several offside calls against them, averaging 2.87 offsides per match.

Historically, Roma has been strong against Cagliari, winning 21 out of 40 direct matches, with Cagliari managing just 8 wins and 11 draws. Roma’s unbeaten run of 12 games in Serie A participation and their recent form suggest they are favorites to win this match. However, Cagliari’s recent performances have shown resilience, and they could capitalize on any complacency from Roma.

Key Players

• Roma: Their key players will likely include those who excel in maintaining possession and creating scoring chances from set pieces. Players like Lorenzo Pellegrini and Paulo Dybala are crucial in Roma’s attacking setup. Dybala has scored 6 goals this season and provided 3 assists.
• Cagliari: Cagliari’s key players will be those who can capitalize on aerial battles and create scoring opportunities through swift counterattacks. Players like Artem Dovbyk, who has scored 9 goals this season, and Roberto Piccoli, with 7 goals, could be pivotal in exploiting Roma’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction and Betting Markets

Given Roma’s possession dominance and Cagliari’s aerial threat, this match could go either way. However, Roma’s overall strength and recent form might give them a slight edge. According to probability analysis, Roma has a 71.58% chance of winning, while Cagliari’s chances are at 10.33%.

Here’s a selection of betting markets for the match:

Prediction: Roma to win, with both teams scoring. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0, with a probability of 13.62%5.